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Pivot3 Predictions: Solving the 2013 IT Fiscal Cliff with VDI

VMblog Predictions

Virtualization and Cloud executives share their predictions for 2013.  Read them in this VMblog.com series exclusive.

Contributed article by Lee Caswell, founder & chief strategy officer at Pivot3

Solving the 2013 IT Fiscal Cliff with VDI

The VDI market continues to both confound and delight the industry.  Analysts and vendors alike continue to look for patterns in how VDI is being used and whether it will follow the same adoption path of its technology sibling giant, server virtualization.  With a full year of VDI sales under our belt at Pivot3, we've developed this fresh set of predictions for 2013 based on patterns we've seen with real customers.  In fact, we see a veritable IT Fiscal Cliff where VDI is one of only a few tools available to solve for device sprawl in the face of fixed IT budgets and staff.

Multiple devices force VDI adoption

As one industry pundit commented, 2013 is the year that BYOD becomes BYODDDDD.  Device sprawl is upon us with the latest IDC forecasts predicting 40 percent unit growth in year-over-year tablet shipments in 2013 to 165 million units.  More devices, and particularly multiple devices per user, present huge management challenges for IT when users expect to access corporate applications securely from any device at any time. VDI is one of the few tools available to sooth the pain and security risk of device explosion.   

Flat IT budgets tip the ROI scale for VDI

At the same time, IT groups and budgets aren't expanding to match the growth in devices.  In fact it's quite the opposite.  IT budgets are being held flat at best.  In this environment, 2013 will see IT investing in VDI to regain the leverage of centralized infrastructure, security and backup investments for the disparate set of user-owned devices.   It's the tried and true IT model that will hold true for VDI and device proliferation as surely as PC proliferation drove investment in Novell NetWare LAN adoption in the 1980s. 

Enterprise VDI at any scale

We saw a tremendous amount of VDI experimentation in 2012 from customers ranging from top enterprise to small and medium business.  And a fair amount of that early discovery took place for less than 100 users on a single-point-of-failure server because it was affordable and easy to try.  But every successful deployment requires enterprise-level high availability infrastructure for the simple reason that no IT manager is ready to take the call to say that even 10 users are down at one time.  With VDI comes the expectation that centralized systems can tolerate failures without compromising accessibility. As 2012 customer pilots move to 2013 production systems, we expect to see continued recognition of high-availability storage and server infrastructure value, along with a passionate search for solutions that aren't as complicated or costly as a typical SAN and physical server combination.

Summary

End user computing is evolving at the pace of new endpoint device adoption.  As sure as IT organizations face limited budgets, an unstoppable flood of new devices and the Windows8 operating system, we're sure to see healthy growth in 2013 as VDI becomes a priority to meet pressing user needs that simply can't be ignored.   Seeing a cliff is, after all, the first step in planning for a safe 2013.

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About the Author

Lee Caswell, founder and chief strategy officer of Pivot3

Lee is an experienced marketing executive in the storage, networking, and digital video markets. Prior to founding Pivot3, Lee was EVP Marketing and Business Development at VMware and held a series of senior management roles at Adaptec (ADPT) ending as VP and General Manager of Adaptec's $350M Storage Solutions Group. Prior to Adaptec, Lee was VP Sales and Marketing at Parallax Graphics which introduced the first real-time video capture products for the video surveillance market. He spent the first five years of his career in management programs at GE. Lee has a BA from Carleton College and an MBA from the Tuck School at Dartmouth College.
Published Monday, December 03, 2012 6:53 AM by David Marshall
Comments
VMblog.com - Virtualization Technology News and Information for Everyone - (Author's Link) - January 15, 2013 7:00 AM

First, I'd like to personally thank everyone for being a valued member and reader of VMblog! Once again, with the help of each of you, VMblog has been able to remain one of the oldest and most successful virtualization and cloud news sites on the Web

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