Virtualization and Cloud executives share their predictions for 2017. Read them in this 9th annual VMblog.com series exclusive.
Contributed by Lucas Carlson, VP of strategy, Automic Software
Why the hype around cloud and containers will give way to Ops in 2017
It's almost 2017 and we are still talking about virtualization and
cloud. Why? The hype cycle around these concepts is far past its prime.
And yet, here we are. Before I share my predictions, here are some about
the other predictions you are going to read, made by vendors trying to
sell you on the new "new."
You will hear all about the
rise of the containers, no doubt, and how they are poised to solve all
the problems cloud and virtualization never did. You'll also hear that
container orchestration solutions are necessary to make sense of
managing the exponentially expanding number of containers - and the list
Every year, it seems the state of the
art just gets more and more disconnected from the realities of today's
IT problems, and the revenues prove this sad state of affairs. Show me
10 container startups and I will show you 10 companies spending far more
than they make, with no hope of digging out from endless rounds of
venture financing (in a best case scenario) or from an imminent shut
down (in a more realistic case scenario).
dumb, and we're not buying solutions from companies we know won't
survive the next 5-10 years. So this year I'm offering a fresher set of
predictions than what you might be used to, and hopefully, a more honest
look at the realities of the technology we can expect over the next
Prediction #1: A Bunch More Cloud Companies Will Fail Or Be Acquired And Shut Down
Nitrous Cloud IDE, DataJoy IDE, Opsee, AppFog, Orchestrate.io, and
others are among the list of hot cloud companies that were either shut
down or scaled back post-acquisition in 2016. Who's on the list for
2017? Only time will tell, but from things I hear, you might be
surprised at some of the companies living on life support right now.
Often, it's not the technologies that are the problem. It's the fact
that a market just doesn't exist to support them yet, which brings us to
prediction number two.
Prediction #2: Cloud Education Becomes A Big Business
good are tools like Docker, Mesosphere, Kubernetes, etc. without a
large group of people who understand them? The gating factor in the
adoption of containers and cloud is not technology. It's education.
There are just not enough people in charge of technology right now who
are up to speed on the latest and greatest. And the support/services
that plays around complicated technologies is not the solution. An
Udemy-like education platform that specializes in teaching cloud
technologies to people who have been in the industry for 20 years is
necessary and inevitable.
Prediction #3: Container Hype Will Keep Going Up While Adoption Will Stay Pitifully Small
get me wrong. It's not that I don't think containers won't take off.
They just won't take off in 2017. I've spoken with too many Fortune
1000's to keep my rose-tinted glasses on. Of course companies like
LinkedIn, Netflix, Google, and Amazon will be using containers more and
more. But those companies do not represent the majority of IT
organizations in the world today. Despite the hype, containers have a
few more years before they are ready for the mainstream.
Prediction #4: The Rise of Ops
lot of the containerization trends have been pushed by developers.
DevOps isn't the merging of developers with operation - it's developers
trying to get around operations, and that pendulum has swung way too far
toward the developers. It's about time that operations gets a makeover.
Instead of shoving Puppet and Chef and Jenkins down the throats of
operations groups, in 2017 we will see a new class of tools built
specifically for operations that rise up and meet the challenges that
DevOps has brought to a head. Look out for the return of operations in a
So forget those other predictions pushing to
sell you on the latest hot technology. The next year will see the return
of Ops as it counterbalances Dev in the DevOps equation. The cloud
market will continue to see massive consolidation, and containerization
trends will continue to have more hype than substance until the market
is ready. Be on the lookout for these new realities in 2017.
About the Author
veteran with more than 20 years of experience, Lucas Carlson is the vice
president of strategy at Automic Software, the leader in business
automation, where he is responsible for developing, refining and
managing the execution of Automic's strategic technology goals. Most
recently, Carlson served as CIO at CenturyLink, where he founded and ran
the company's Innovation Lab. Previously, Carlson founded and served as
CEO of AppFog, an extremely successful PaaS company focused on
connecting developers with infrastructure and services within seconds.
He led AppFog through an acquisition by CenturyLink in 2013.
is also a best-selling author, a technology keynote speaker with
experience presenting at over 30 industry events and an innovative
thought leader in the cloud space.