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Zenoss 2016 Predictions: Good Bets and Good-byes

Virtualization and Cloud executives share their predictions for 2016.  Read them in this 8th Annual VMblog.com series exclusive.

Contributed by Kent Erickson, Alliance Strategist and Andrew Kirch, Community Manager, Zenoss

Good Bets and Good-byes

Embrace the future and ride the wave!

We say the following are Good Bets:
  1. Consolidation in legacy infrastructure vendors (NetApp, HP (1 & 2), Oracle, Cisco, Dell/EMC, Brocade, Juniper, Lenovo, IBM, Microsoft, Red Hat). Three major transactions shrink this group in 2016.

  2. Cisco will become a storage company with hyperconverged software for their UCS storage servers. Not by acquiring NetApp.

  3. Gobbling up of standalone hyperconverged vendors. Three acquisitions in 2016.

  4. AWS will have quarterly revenues higher than any vendor's server revenue by Q4.

  5. AWS will continue to own 90% of cloud marketplace transactions.

  6. By the end of the year, Gartner will stop promoting bi-modal IT.

  7. Overall IT infrastructure spend will drop, and by Q4 half of new spend will be in public clouds.

We say Goodbye to the following:
  1. Cloud providers that aren't Amazon, Azure, or Alibaba/Aliyun.

  2. Wordpress. A Lambda-based alternative will emerge and gain rapid following.

  3. That temporary confidence that chip-and-pin actually enhances credit card security.  We'll see the first major data theft from a US chip-and-pin retailer.

  4. Server operating systems as a success factor. Containers and hypervisors make the choice of OS irrelevant for application development.

  5. IT recruiting for vendor infrastructure specialists. The economic value of a single-vendor certification will plummet.

  6. The phrase "private cloud".

For more interesting perspectives on IT, best practices, industry insights, and more check out the Zenoss blog: http://zenoss.com/blog/

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About the Authors

Kent Erickson is Alliance Strategist at Zenoss Inc. Kent has 20 years of experience in IT management software at IBM, Mission Critical, NetIQ, and Zenoss.

Andrew Kirch is the Zenoss Community Manager. In his role as Zenoss Community Manager, Andrew works directly with Zenoss users each and every day. Andrew has over 10 years of experience working as a systems/network administrator, with specializations including SNMP and network monitoring. Prior to working at Zenoss, Andrew was principal at a unified communications VAR focused in the Midwest. In his spare time he puts computer crackers in prison. He graduated in the class of 2000 from Howe Military School.
Published Wednesday, December 16, 2015 8:06 AM by David Marshall
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Z-News Update - The Zenoss Blog - (Author's Link) - December 30, 2015 9:52 AM
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