
Virtualization and Cloud executives share their predictions for 2017. Read them in this 9th annual VMblog.com series exclusive.
Contributed by Jeff Evernham, Sinequa
How Big Data, Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence will Define 2017 and Beyond
It's the end of the year again, a time to
reflect on the events of 2016 and to predict what lies ahead in 2017. There has
been a great deal of buzz around big data, machine learning (ML) and artificial
intelligence (AI) this year. However, it's difficult to sort through what's hype
and what's not, to determine where these will actually take us in 2017. While we
know the trends will continue in some form, what will be new or different next
year? It's an exciting time, to be sure, and I am confident that 2017 will not
just carry forward the events of 2016, but will have a few new developments as
well. Here are some of my predictions:
Incorporation of Unstructured Data
Large companies and organizations are already
using big data, but the majority of this data is still structured data
(transactions, clicks, etc.). In 2017 we will continue to see a surge in big
data usage - but with a much greater focus on leveraging unstructured data. In
2016 much of the use of unstructured data was limited to digital companies
whose businesses rely on it. This ability is expanding to enterprises that
aren't as data reliant, as more of this data becomes available along with new tools
that can manage it without huge investments and long development cycles. In
2017 more organizations will be tapping into their vast stores of disparate,
unstructured data by finding ways to leverage it - both by itself and by
combining it with their structured data assets to reveal insights not possible
with structured data alone.
This will be a fundamental shift. Numbers are
typically about revenue performance, operational metrics, etc., but
unstructured text holds the critical information about how business actually
gets done. When a customer buys something, that transaction tells you about the
event - but an e-mail, a transcribed
phone call or a Facebook post from that same customer gives you insight about
the person. A company's institutional knowledge (or
secret sauce), discoveries, internal processes and competitive edge are often
contained in a vast array of written text. It takes natural language
processing, unified information access and cognitive search capabilities to
extract information and share it in a useful way with those who need it. This
will allow organizations to understand what the text is saying and use that to
drive innovation and efficiency as well as improve operational effectiveness.
Machine Learning Becomes Legit, but Not
Mainstream in 2017
There has been a lot of hype around machine
learning for some time now. Over the past couple of decades, we've seen hype
around machine intelligence, starting with expert systems and AI, that in most
cases didn't deliver. That has changed with the confluence of large data, cheap
storage, massive processing power and advanced algorithms - and now machine
learning is a reality. Nonetheless, there's still a lot of hype; and while ML
will gain adoption for more real-world, successful applications in 2017 it will
not become mainstream. This is because the alignment of proper data, suitable
training sets and specific use cases - necessary for successful ML - remains
hard to come by. ML won't become mainstream until we have more context-aware
algorithms and more robust datasets. However, next year will see more ML successes,
and that will propel it from a mystical, over-hyped holy grail to having a credible
place in the business toolkit.
One area where machine learning is growing
rapidly and already showing success is for cognitive search and analytics
applications. It won't take over core algorithms anytime soon, but ML is
already supplementing and enhancing search results based on user actions and
smart analysis of content.
Artificial Intelligence Expands Capabilities,
but Impacts the Workforce
Artificial
Intelligence is taking the industry by storm, and not just in "Westworld." We're entering a new phase of AI thanks to advances in
computing power and volume of data. This has opened the door to solve
computational problems on a scale that no human mind could approach - even in a
lifetime. The result is that computers are now able to provide responses that aren't
dictated by a collection of "if A, then B" rules, offering results that can
only be explained by saying that the computer "understands." The benefit is
that complex and time-consuming cognitive processes can now be automated, and
we can do things at scale that were previously impossible because unlike
humans, computers are not overwhelmed by volume.
We're definitely headed in the direction of
workforce displacement and I believe it's going to happen quickly, as there are
huge economic incentives to increase efficiency and to automate manual tasks. This
will happen faster than we expect because we think linearly, while technology
is advancing exponentially. We struggle with that perspective because it
quickly outpaces what we can readily grasp, whether that be in size or speed,
or both. This will bring additional challenges because the disruption will
occur across the occupational spectrum (unlike the industrial revolution, which
primarily impacted "low-skill" jobs). I don't see any particular sector being
hit by this tidal wave in 2017, but AI is a disruptor like we've never seen
before and it will be here soon whether we are ready for it or not.
However, with this transformation, tasks that
have been impractical because of the time/labor involved now become feasible,
which means we'll be able to do things we haven't been able to do before. It
will also free us from many mundane and repetitive tasks, enabling people to
focus on new or more valuable activities. This will increase efficiency in the
workplace as well as consistency, which will improve quality and safety. So
while the workforce will look very different from how it looks today -
certainly in 10 years and probably in five, AI and ML are going to greatly
extend and expand our capabilities in ways that, for now, we can only imagine.
What are your predictions for 2017 and beyond?
##
About the Author
Jeff Evernham is the
Director of Consulting for North America at Sinequa, where he leads Sinequa's
expansion in North America with responsibility for client engagements, sales
engineering, solution delivery, and partner management. He specializes in
aligning cutting-edge technology solutions with business needs, with over
twenty years of experience in software, professional services, and management
consulting. Jeff has deep expertise in data analysis and business
intelligence, and led the analytics and visualization practice at Knowledgent,
a big data and analytics consulting firm. He was instrumental in the rapid
growth of Synygy, a software and services provider, where he served for over 15
years, attaining the role of Vice President of Global Professional
Services. He began his career as a Technical
Specialist at The Boeing Company after graduating with Bachelor and Master of
Science degrees in Aerospace Engineering from MIT.