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CloudBees 2019 Predictions: DevOps, Cloud, Kubernetes... Oh My!

Industry executives and experts share their predictions for 2019.  Read them in this 11th annual VMblog.com series exclusive.

Contributed by CloudBees, Inc.

DevOps, Cloud, Kubernetes... Oh My!

In 2018 we continued to see rapid growth and evolution in the DevOps industry. From mergers and acquisitions to new products and offerings and of course continued adoption in the market overall. It's safe to say that DevOps, and all that comes with it, is here to stay.

For 2019, we got the inside scoop from the crew at CloudBees, the enterprise DevOps leader powering the continuous economy, about where the industry is headed. Take a look at what some of their team had to say:

2019 looks a little cloud-y

From "what is the cloud?" to " let's move to the cloud!" enterprises are rapidly adapting to meet the demands of customers and employees by migrating to the cloud. There isn't a one size fits all approach though and Chief Strategy Officer at CloudBees, François Déchery has a few thoughts about it. "In 2019, the hybrid cloud will shift from a mix of mostly on-prem with a bit of public cloud to a mix of less and less on-prem and more and more public cloud." Déchery continued, "I also believe that all public clouds will have their on-prem Kubernetes on-ramp (to the public cloud) offering deployed at major enterprises. AWS, Azure and Google will confirm that they are the only hyperscalers and widen their gap with all the other clouds, and in summary, large non-cloud tech companies will suffer even more from the public cloud competition, leading to more mergers and consolidations."

Chiming in on the cloud conversation and adding some container talk, Laura Tacho, Director of Engineering, at CloudBees says, "The cloud and container market is maturing, meaning many core problems have solutions that have been productized. This leaves room for more innovation for peripheral problems, but also makes competition stiff." Tacho also added, "To counter that, we'll see market consolidation continue to grow in 2019 as companies with cash fight to expand their market share. Small- to medium-sized companies will continue to be gobbled up. Monitoring, security and compliance as frontrunners for acquisition, and we should expect a few key larger M&As, especially for tools integral to the dev process. "Developer engagement" is a strong currency that tech giants are willing to fork over a ton of cash for."

Kuber-what? Kubernetes!

Way back in the beginning of 2018, we saw Kubernetes begin to take center stage in the software development conversation. There was a lot of education as the industry clamored to discover what it meant, but in 2019 we can expect Kubernetes to remain at the forefront of conversations.

Carlos Sanchez, Principal Software Engineer, shared a few of his Kubernetes predictions, "Kubernetes is the standard for cluster computing. The CNCF will standardize more services on top of Kubernetes (Istio, Prometheus and the like) and companies will push to try make their tools the standard on top of Kubernetes." Sanchez also mentioned, "Cloud providers will launch Kubernetes serverless implementations (using Virtual Kubelet, Fargate, etc.) so Kubernetes will be provided with no nodes or full-time services running. In 2019 we can expect to see top cloud providers (AWS, Azure, Google Cloud) fighting to differentiate themselves on their Kubernetes offering, creating services on top to try to lock users in."

Sharing some other thoughts in line with Kubernetes, Viktor Farcic, Principal DevOps Consultant, said this, "As Kubernetes adoption grows, companies will start realizing that it is not enough to simply adopt it, but that they will need to change all aspects of their processes, tools and architecture. Kubernetes will be a big push for deep company-wide changes. 2019 will be remembered as the year when status-quo became unacceptable. We'll start moving towards principles enforced by Kubernetes (e.g., microservices, continuous delivery, immutable everything, cloud native, etc.)."

DevOps and the Future

Of course, we couldn't forget a specific DevOps prediction! Christina Noren, Chief Product Officer, shared this, "With DevOps transformations well under way in the largest organizations, they will experience impacts beyond just IT or software development. They will begin to realize that other functions from marketing to legal to compliance must be transformed to work with a continuous delivery model. Fixed contracts, long lead times and delays in these other areas will sap the impact of continuous delivery and DevOps if they are not examined and addressed."

And, CEO Sacha Labourey had a few thoughts to share as well....

"2019 will increasingly see the topics of open source, open source-based business models and cloud collide. Public cloud providers have clearly more benefited from open source than open source has benefited from public cloud providers, and innovative open source-based companies (in lack of a solid business model) have been crushed in the process. This is not a sustainable equilibrium and while this topic was already pretty visible in 2018, it will become a key theme in 2019."

Labourey also said this in reference to M&A, "As the cloud war is raging, there is in all likelihood room for at most three top vendors. The first two spots have been secured by Microsoft and AWS. Google is fighting to keep the third spot: despite great raw technology, they've been unable to create an enterprise sales motion and culture, which is acting as a ceiling to their growth (vs. Microsoft and AWS). The most obvious way for Google is a DNA-transplant, i.e. to "acquire" this culture. Google is very much aware of this and after failing to acquire both GitHub and Red Hat, their options are diminishing by the day. Google's latest cloud acquisition dates from...2016 with Apigee! With the arrival of Thomas Kurian, things will drastically evolve. Mr. Kurian comes from a strong enterprise business culture and M&A has been Oracle's way for decades. How is that different from Diane Greene? She also has an amazing enterprise background and culture. IMO, the big difference is that Ms. Greene, as she arrived at Google, had to rebuild a lot of foundation and put things on a very different track. That consumed a lot of her time and energy. Mr. Kurian comes fresh and, very quickly, will want to validate that he has relative free reigns and corporate backing to make GCP successful. If this is not going to work for him, he might as well know fast and move on. My prediction? Under Kurian, Google will acquire at least five companies in the first nine months of 2019. If they don't, Kurian will leave the company fast. Since Red Hat has been acquired, Pivotal becomes the next attractive target with strong products and cultural assets - key elements of any digital transformation. In the next 9-24 months (extending my horizon on this one!), I predict that either the Dell/EMC/VMware mothership will accept to sell Pivotal for a hefty amount (could be to Google) or will be merged back into VMware (this is a stack war, my bet is that VMware will want that asset to be directly aligned to their strategy - the Heptio deal shows they care about having a solid end-to-end story), and maybe all of VMware and Pivotal will make it into a single Dell ship."

So, there you have it - 2018 was one for the books, and we have no doubt that 2019 will be another exciting year for DevOps.

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Published Thursday, January 24, 2019 7:20 AM by David Marshall
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