These top trends will
drive continued changes in consumer products and enterprise environments.
Written by Jeff Mabeck and Greg Kuziej
Trends may come and trends may go, and especially when it
comes to the ever-changing environment of mobile operating systems and devices,
it's always handy to keep tabs on what's driving product innovation and
industry changes.
These four top trends in mobile usage will continue to shape
the future of the enterprise as well as how businesses cater to and deliver on
consumer preference.
No. 1: Mobile
operating systems (OS) dominate the world's computing platforms.
According to data from IDC and Gartner,
85 percent of the compute devices (which includes
desktops/notebooks/detachables, tablets, and smartphones) shipped had a mobile
OS, running either Android or iOS, showing that mobile ecosystems are vastly
outpacing traditional desktop and laptop operating systems in terms of scale.
When it comes to type of mobile operating system, Android is
king, beating iOS, both in growth and overall units shipped - by hundreds of
millions of units. This may be surprising, because in the United States (and several
other specific markets such as Australia, Japan, Canada, Hong Kong, Denmark and
the United Kingdom), Apple has a fairly strong market share, so many Americans
may assume that iOS is equally popular around the world as well. Yet from a
worldwide perspective, Android is by far the foremost compute OS, garnering
more than 70 percent of total units shipped; iOS and Windows both clock in at
less than 14 percent each.
Compute device shipment forecasts from IDC and Canalys
anticipate that the aggregate of tablet and PC shipments will remain mostly
flat through 2022, while smartphone shipments will continue to increase, though
at slower rates than in the past. The sharpest jumps of smartphone shipments
were prior to 2015, with flatter yet continued increases predicted from 2019 through
2022.
No. 2: Smartphones
are the most preferred Internet device.
Two-thirds of the more than 100,000 people that GlobalWebIndex surveyed said
their smartphone was their most important internet device, up 34 percentage
points in 2018 since the first quarter of 2016. Laptops and desktop PCs
decreased in importance during that same timeframe.
This survey's findings support trend No. 1 - that mobile
operating systems have taken over global computing systems. With more users
relying on - and valuing - their smartphones as their primary device for their
internet access, it's no surprise that mobile is outpacing desktop OS.
Demographically, users age 44 and under overwhelmingly
prefer using their smartphones to get online; smartphones have a slight edge
over PCs with users age 45 to 54, and lose to PCs with those age 55 to 64. This
points to a future in which smartphones continue as the leading method of
internet access as current users age and younger generations - who grew up with
smartphones, and therefore are likely to prefer using them to get online - continue
to grow.
This trend has implications for the enterprise environment.
Consumer behaviors often carry into the workplace, and as younger employees
enter the workforce, bringing their preference for working on mobile devices,
it's likely we will see enterprises shift to accommodate them. Enterprises will
need to get serious about implementing bring-your-own-device (BYOD) policies,
corporate network infrastructure and security protocols to help a mobile work
environment succeed.
Laptops and desktops are not showing signs of going away,
but may become less dominant in the workplace - similar to how offices used to
be desktop environments and moved to laptops in the past couple of decades.
No. 3: U.S. adults
spend more time online because of mobile.
Venture
capitalist Mary Meeker's well-known annual Internet Trends report highlighted
in 2018 that U.S. adults continued to spend more time on digital media than
they did the previous year. While the overall time spent online only increased
about 20 additional minutes each day, the majority of the time spent online was
on mobile devices, which accounted for the overall growth in digital media
consumption.
Mobile online time has been increasing steadily each year;
for example, in 2008, U.S. adults only spent 2.7 hours online total, and only
20 minutes of that time on a mobile device, with most of the rest on desktop or
laptop (other connected devices account for a small amount of online time each
year). By 2017, adults spent 5.9 hours a day online, with more than half of
that time spent on mobile.
While the time spent on desktops and laptops has declined
only slightly from 2012 to the present, the time spent online has increased
nearly two hours, showing that the ubiquity of mobile devices in the average
American adult's life has driven them to spend more time online.
The findings from this survey show that mobile usage did not
simply cannibalize desktop and laptop usage in a zero-sum game, with overall
online time remaining flat year over year. Instead, while desktop and laptop
internet usage has declined only slightly, mobile usage has boomed - people are
spending more time online, and they're using mobile devices to do it.
No. 4: Mobile users
desire mobile print services - but aren't aware of how to use it.
All of the previous trends show continued growth in mobile
usage and preference for mobile, and a trend related to all of these is that
mobile users often desire the ability to do the same types of things they could
do from a PC or laptop - including printing.
For example, mobile photos have become a key form of content
for users all over the globe. Based on data from Google I/O 2017 and WWDC 2017,
between Android and iOS devices, we estimate that people take more than 5
billion mobile photos each day (InfoTrends
estimated people took 1.2 trillion photos in 2017).
Yet despite the vast number of mobile photos taken every
day, and although printed photos remain popular for posting in lockers and
workplace cubicles, or in frames around the home, many users don't realize how
easily they can bring them from the digital realm to the physical. InfoTrends
found approximately 16 percent of users that take photos with a smartphone didn't
realize they could print mobile photos directly, but would like to. Another 23 percent
stated they plan to try mobile printing, but haven't yet. These two groups
represent a large contingent of people who have not yet adopted mobile printing,
but offer a significant opportunity to drive additional mobile print adoption
through better awareness and simplicity.
Additionally, of the mobile device users in the United
States who say printing is important to them, only about half of them know how
to print via mobile and have tried it. Many users appear to be under the
impression they need a new app to be able to print, when in fact it has become
a seamless, frictionless part of their mobile operating system. With a
standards-based built-in solution waiting to be discovered and employed, it's
predicted that mobile print usage will continue to grow in popularity.
As user preference continues to skew heavily toward a mobile
ecosystem, keeping a finger on the pulse of these four trends will help both
enterprises and consumer-facing businesses optimize their environments and
create products that people want to use.
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About the Authors
Jeff Mabeck is senior R&D engineer for HP.
Mabeck can be reached at jeff.mabeck@hp.com.
Greg Kuziej is senior director of software and solution engineering for HP.
Kuziej can be reached at greg.kuziej@hp.com.