Industry executives and experts share their predictions for 2020. Read them in this 12th annual VMblog.com series exclusive.
By Dean Bogdanovic, founder
and CEO of Volta Networks
Networking and Routing
5G will give us a significant leap forward in capacity and
capability over 4G and will launch us into the age of
"everything connected," with IoT, connected
cars, automated factories and more. However, these applications don't tolerate delay - they are
low latency and bandwidth-hungry. How will networks and routers need to change
to be ready for this new era?
Here are five predictions for networking and
routing in 2020.
Predictions:
1) The
Rise of Disaggregated Routers - next year,
disaggregated router architectures will disrupt the service provider router
market as CapEx shifts away from legacy routers to investments in greenfield
buildouts that set the stage for new revenue opportunities. Service providers
will begin significant field deployments of open networking as the only
cost-effective approach for greenfield applications, such as 5G transport
networks. (In a recent blog post, the Telecom Infra Project DCSG sub-group announced field trials
by Telefonica and Vodafone.)
2) 5G,
Enterprises and Industry 4.0 - we predict that 5G
will be the catalyst for service providers to unveil a new generation of
services for the enterprise market. Service providers will use network slicing
to deliver greater bandwidth with low latency, and this will allow enterprises
to truly evolve into Industry 4.0 models. Aggressive investments in 2020 will
set the stage for the first revenue from this new generation of services in
2021. (Roy Chua, principal at AvidThink, stated "...we'll see a new wave of disaggregated solutions in
networking...I see the rise of a new generation of cloud-architecture,
cloud-scale networking fabric, and network functions.")
3) NetOps
Automation -
software agility and automation will become critical network operations
processes which will require a central point of control with a common
northbound interface using carrier-grade standards such as YANG service models.
4) Open
Networking Goes ‘Down Market' - small and medium
service providers will quickly adopt open networking, taking a cue from the
experience with Tier-1 rollouts, with the goals of reducing CAPEX/OPEX and
improving service agility. Smaller providers will be aggressive in their
rollouts giving them an immediate advantage. (Javier Gavilán, Telefónica's chief technology
innovation officer and director of core, network platforms, and
transport, stated that the company is committed to an open networking strategy
to facilitate the ongoing transformation of their network.)
5) Small
Providers Not Open to Open Source - given their size and
software development resources, only the very largest service providers will be
able to make the necessary internal investments to use open source in
production. Small providers will not embrace open source options and will rely
on support from commercial suppliers.
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About the Author
Dean Bogdanovic is the founder
and CEO of Volta Networks. His background includes twenty-five years of
experience in high technology. Prior to founding Volta, Dean was a
Distinguished Engineer at Juniper Networks and Chief Evangelist at CounterPath.
He also held several lead engineering roles with Bridgeport Networks, Emerging
Technologies, Tazz Networks, MCK Communication and IBM. Dean is active
participant in Internet Engineering Task Force (IETF) and holds multiple
patents in networking technology. He earned a BS in Telecommunications from the
University of Zagreb.