Industry executives and experts share their predictions for 2020. Read them in this 12th annual VMblog.com series exclusive.
By Rolf Bittner, Senior Director Business Development, Qt
Modernized Digital Cockpits Bring Challenges and Opportunities to Automotive OEMs
To appeal to customers'
increasing desire for immersive driving experiences, major OEMs are overhauling
vehicle interiors. What were once buttons and dials are now smartphone-like
touchscreens and digital interfaces, forever changing the way vehicle interiors
will look and operate moving forward.
The trend towards
digital cockpit presents both challenges and opportunities to OEMs, and the
OEMs that are able to navigate the challenges will reap the rewards the digital
cockpit offers.
Keep an eye on these 2020
industry trends and predictions:
In-car digital displays will continue to get
larger and more unified, focusing on delivering smartphone-like user
experiences.
The evolution of the in-car experience has been
dramatic and swift. Traditionally, in-vehicle digital controls were very
isolated: the center dashboard would control media and radio functions, a
different section controlled the HVAC system, and a standalone set of controls
managed the rear-seat infotainment system. Moreover, the analog instrument
cluster, which used electric mechanic needles to indicate speed, RPMs, and
more, was considered an independent segment of the vehicle control system.
Over the past few years, automotive OEMs have
focused on delivering more unified capabilities to drive enhanced user
experiences. This trend is guided by the easy-to-use interfaces of today's
smartphones, which have biased consumer expectations for every type of device.
To support this evolution, automakers have started to deploy high-performance
digital interfaces in their vehicle line-ups, including digital instrument
clusters, in-vehicle infotainment systems, and head-up displays, to help
consumers fully utilize the connected car capabilities. For example, Tesla's
Model S vehicle has a 17-inch touchscreen that manages not only typical
navigation and media functions - but also every other control in the car from
one single screen.
In 2020 and beyond, the customer need for
usability, reliability, and performance will continue to drive bigger and more
inclusive in-car screens. At some point, these digital cockpits might even span
the whole front of the car (see Byton's M-Byte SUV, which has a screen that
measures 48-inches across). Beyond ease-of-use, the bigger and advanced digital
screens will enhance driver and passenger safety by providing more
mission-critical information - such as lights that are turning red, or alerts
on accidents or unsafe road conditions ahead - and these screens will also
reduce driver distractions, so drivers would no longer need to struggle through
a myriad of options cluttered on a small screen.
By providing enhanced operational
visibility, advanced digital screens will play a critical role in the safe
transition to fully-autonomous deployments.
There is a wide variety of challenges that are
curbing the widespread adoption of autonomous vehicles, and one of the most
significant issues is safety.
User safety is one of the most critical aspects of
the modern driving experience, and over the past few years, the industry has
seen an increasing demand for automated, safe-driving offerings and
capabilities. Although most drivers (and vehicles) are not yet ready to hand
over full control to an autonomous machine, many cars on the road today provide
tools to assist drivers and increase overall road safety, including adaptive
cruise control, automatic emergency braking, and blind-spot detection.
As automated driving functionalities continue to evolve
from basic safe-driving assistance to fully-autonomous deployments, drivers are
expected to pay less attention to vehicle operations and grow more unaware of
their surroundings. During this transitional phase, there will be moments where
drivers must occasionally jump in and take over basic operations from the
self-driving system, in case of, complex, heavy-traffic situations, etc. If the
driver can't take back control of the machine quickly and efficiently, it will
result in life-threatening issues.
In these types of emergency situations, it will be
vital for the driver to know what is going on inside and outside the vehicle
very quickly. Most importantly, drivers must know what's driving the machine's
behavior, and these insights must be presented instantly, clearly, and
accurately so drivers can act accordingly before serious errors occur.
To help address this issue, in 2020 and beyond,
automotive OEMs will look to advanced digital screens to help translate
autonomous decision-making and increase operational visibility, which will help
address the significant industry safety concerns and build consumer trust.
As a result of the increasing popularity of
ride-sharing, automotive user interfaces will become more user-centric to
support mission-critical operations.
Although ridesharing is not a new phenomenon, the
growing popularity of smartphones and the ever-growing usability expectations
from newer generations has resulted in a dramatic rise in the quality and
quantity of ridesharing use cases. Moreover, compared to the previous
generation, millennials are less inclined to purchase cars as status symbols
and instead focus on cost-efficiency, productivity, and environmental
awareness. Indeed, according to Lyft's 2019 Economic Impact Report, Lyft
passengers across the globe retained approximately $6 billion in combined time
savings and travel costs this year alone.
Ridesharers use off-the-lot, standard vehicles for
daily operators, and we expect this trend to hold as the industry continues to
grow over the next few years. However, in 2020 and beyond, software and digital
experiences - for both in-vehicle systems and mobile phones - will continue to
innovate to deliver enhanced driver and passenger experiences. Rather than
showcasing details about the ride to the driver and passenger via their
personal devices, vehicles can implement more advanced user interfaces to
improve the overall customer experience. For example, in-vehicle screens can
update passengers and drivers simultaneously on real-time traffic updates via
the center console and rear-seat infotainment systems.
Moreover, the industry will experience an increase
in downloadable applications for cars so that drivers can customize vehicle
usability similar to the smartphone experience. Rather than installing
applications on personal, handheld devices, drivers can install apps directly
onto the vehicle control system. Beyond ridesharing, this will also benefit
sectors such as online food delivery, as these applications can be easily
customized for a variety of use cases. Considering restaurant delivery has
grown 20% in the last five years, and online food delivery sales are estimated
to expand to 40% of total restaurant sales by 2023, this is a big opportunity
for automotive OEMs to enable more user-centric digital experiences.
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About the Author
Rolf Bittner is the
Senior Director of Business Development at The Qt Company, where he manages cross-cultural
teams and delivers results in services, solution and system integration sales.
Prior to Qt, he held sales-focused roles at the Aricent Group, Nash
Technologies GmbH, basyskom GmbH, and Teleca (a Harman company).