Industry executives and experts share their predictions for 2020. Read them in this 12th annual VMblog.com series exclusive.
By Joanne Lennon,
Extreme Networks
The Year AI Learns
A recent report from Accenture found a striking
dichotomy. Seventy-five percent of surveyed executives believe they risk going
out of business in five years if they don't scale AI. Yet despite this critical
perceived need, 76 percent say they are struggling to widely adopt AI in their
businesses.
Why the disconnect?
AI may be the phrase on everyone's lips, but
so far, it's been more hype than substance. In 2020, that starts to change. As
AI gets smarter, 2020 will be the year we reckon with the consequences, discuss
the need for regulation, and move toward more powerful applications of AI than
virtual assistance and product recommendations. The conversation will move
beyond shiny objects, hollow hype, and shaky vendor promises - and become more
nuanced, balanced, and tangible.
Here's what I predict will drive the AI
conversation next year:
AI
earns its stripes in the enterprise
The industrial revolution began with using
machines to perform mundane, cumbersome and repetitive tasks. In these early
days of the AI revolution, it's largely been the same. Companies aren't using
AI to entirely disrupt their businesses or radically transform customer
experiences as much as they're using it to create efficiencies and save
employee time. But we're about to cross that chasm.
In 2020, we will finally see the fruits of
millions of hours of engineering effort. As a result of more data and more
maturity, AI systems will actually be able to learn and act on their own, and therefore show much greater value.
AI will become the bedrock of the enterprise, acting as the key component of
enterprise orchestration and optimization, providing a level of network
assurance unattainable with previous tools. With AI, the network will literally
be able to run and optimize itself.
Beyond IT, AI will add levels of intelligence
that grant enterprises a newfound freedom to connect with customers, employees,
students, and patients in new and meaningful ways. What used to be seen as just
a tool to manage the network will expand its capability to allow almost any
corporate entity to garner knowledge they never knew the network could provide.
Healthcare practitioners will use AI to monitor whether pills have been
distributed to a patient, retailers will be able to see which part of the store
a customer is in and send location-based offerings, and educators will be able
to create connected classrooms and deliver personalized learning solutions for
each student.
A new dialogue around skills emerges
Those wary of AI and
automation often warn about technology taking jobs away. The sentiment behind
those fears is valid, but the argument is over-simplified. AI won't eliminate
the need for human intelligence and judgement. The success of any bold digital transformation
initiative entirely depends on the strength and intellect of the people within
the walls of enterprises. But AI will change what employees do on a
day-to-day basis and drive them to learn new skills. This is par for the course
-- businesses and employees have been evolving alongside major technological
advancements for decades, from the industrial revolution to our internet-driven
economy today.
Though some
companies may choose to recruit new full-time employees with specialized experience,
in 2020 I expect more companies to focus on upskilling their existing workforce
and teaching teams how to use new software, automation, and analytics tools.
Not only will that training expand employees' capabilities and encourage
professional development (which helps with retention and recruitment), it empowers
your workforce to be more proactive and makes them more effective at ensuring
legacy technology and new AI technology fit together.
Ethics
takes a front seat
For Boeing, 2019 was marked by a second tragic
plane crash, the grounding of its 737 Max, and questions regarding the role the
plane's automated system played in the crash. Why did the pilots not have the
ability to override the plane's self-driving capabilities?
In this era of self-driving cars and
autonomous systems, the Boeing incident made us pause and reflect on our
technology-enabled world. In 2020, this reckoning will continue. The introduction of autonomous cars has raised ethical and
philosophical questions, such as The Trolley Problem. Should a self-driving car be programmed to
protect the driver at all costs, or to do the least amount of damage within the
overall society? Should a car be programmed to break the law by driving onto a
curb to avoid a child on the road? These types of questions need to be
considered in the creation and adoption of new technologies.
As
enterprises adopt artificial intelligence technologies, similar considerations
are called for. Creating an ethical AI is essential. The infamous Amazon recruitment ML
engine, abandoned in 2017 due to its bias against women is an example of what can go wrong when
ML and AI tools are trained on biased data. The
project was designed to make the time-intensive task of hiring easier, but it ended
up illustrating the potential pitfalls of relying on algorithms over human
judgement. Careful consideration for where, when and how new technologies are
adopted is essential. And the time for this discussion is now - before immature
technology is brought to market or more accidents occur.
Who
will rise to the occasion?
Across every industry, CIOs will tell you AI is a critical element
to their business' growth. We can all recite the potential benefits, we've all
read the headlines. But 2020 will be the year AI moves beyond talk, and breaks
through in a more meaningful way. And it's going to be the organizations that
prioritize planning, infrastructure, and data that will rise to the top.
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About the Author
Joanne Lennon is a Senior Product Marketing Manager at
Extreme Networks focusing on Extreme's Smart OmniEdge solution. She has over 20
years of experience, working at a number of different organizations in North
America, Europe and Asia Pacific, and has held a variety of technical, sales
and marketing roles throughout her career. Joanne holds a BEng in EE from
Queen's University, Ireland and a MEng from Queen's University, Canada.