Industry executives and experts share their predictions for 2020. Read them in this 12th annual VMblog.com series exclusive.
By Ash
Ashutosh, co-founder and CEO of Actifio
Digital Nationalism, Containing Containers and Old-Fashioned Hardware Lock-In
Five
Topics That Matter to Technology Leaders in 2020
We've just lived through a decade of
fundamental shifts and world-changing innovations like no other. We started
Actifio just as that decade began, and it's been a blur. Here's what I think
will be top of mind for technology-minded leaders (are there any other kind
left?) as we embark on the new decade:
1. The
cloud wars need more Switzerlands. The internet just turned 50 years old
and cloud services have emerged as the dominant model for IT and innovation in
general. But as politicians and world leaders shift their focus to data as the
strategic, scary asset they must control and protect, the rise of digital nationalism will present major
complications for multinational companies and technology providers in the new
decade. The world is more connected than ever before, and yet more countries
are placing tighter controls around data and markets as they institute "data
localization" requirements in the name of national security, protectionism or
censorship. Forty-five countries now have some version of data localization
requirements -- and these are no longer limited to authoritarian regimes.
Australia, Canada, and South Korea are now among the countries with
restrictions on cross-border flow of data. The Indian government has demanded
that SAP must house any data on its Indian customers within the country.
Governments aren't the only ones wanting
tighter control of their data. The data leaked from Capital One was on AWS
(Amazon Web Services). For a while the cloud was synonymous with the on-demand
experience and people paid scant attention to where it's running. Now, I hear
more and more companies saying, "I want my business critical workloads and apps
in my private cloud, under my control." We hear a lot about "cloud
repatriation."
In response, Google Cloud released "Anthos,"
Microsoft Azure has "Azure Stack" and AWS has "Outposts." Michael Dell talks
about the growth of the private cloud and believes the largest "cloud vendor"
will be the private cloud -- within corporate data centers. Companies will
become like nation states in this regard.
Cloud-focused platforms that work with both
the public and private sectors need to think of themselves like Switzerland.
They need to work across all organizations and clouds in order to ensure that
everyone - no matter what - has access to their data while adhering to the
various government regulations. 2020 will bring about more cloud-agnostic
platforms. Digital silos will be broken down in order to give organizations
access to the data they need, when they need it.
2. Machine
learning is the new electricity.
While the singularity has not happened yet, we're approaching it in
software development. As data becomes more heavily governed, controlled and
collected, machine learning will be a predominant way for it to be leveraged.
Gartner says enterprise adoption of artificial
intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) has tripled in the
last year alone, and that 37 percent of organizations have now embraced AI/ML.
IDC predicts that by 2025, at least 90% of new enterprise apps will embed
AI/ML. Data-powered decisions, including the use of robotic process
automation (RPA) will eclipse human-powered decisions in terms of the volume of
decisions.
Cloud vendors like Google and IBM have
dramatically lowered the barriers to adoption and use of AI/ML, leveling the
playing field for organizations of any size to become data-driven. We've seen
this phenomenon more recently with gene splicing that reduced the cost from
millions of dollars to around $20. MIT's new Schwarzman College of Computing
will lay the foundation for computing as a basic skill, just as math is, and
further enable exponential adoption of computing in everyday life.
Similar to the rapid evolution of test data
management (TDM) from an esoteric practice more than 10 years ago to a
ubiquitous part of every organization today, I see the rise of analytics data
management (ADM) as the new process for rapid adoption of AI/ML and improving
the accuracy of data-driven decisions.
One thing is certain: all this machine
learning will play a major role in making data an even more strategic asset.
3. The rise of containers raises the bar for
data management. Will Kubernetes be the killer app for edge computing in
2020? That prediction caught my attention because it
matches our experience talking to our customers who are relying more and more
on containers for developing and testing new applications. This is why we made
it easier to clone large production databases using containers in our newest
release. Container Journal explained it this way: "The amount of
structured data pouring into databases running on containers continues to
increase. IT organizations are building more stateful containerized
applications that require access to persistent forms of storage. In theory, it
should be simple to move databases embedded within containers across platforms
assuming DevOps teams have access to tools that enable them to copy the data residing
in those databases. Of course, however, actual DevOps mileage will vary
depending on the quality of the data management tool employed."
4. Hardware lock-in is back . . . pretending
to be software: There is a new generation of deduplication appliance
vendors looking to displace monolithic, previous-generation hardware platforms.
But they bring some of the same dangers that customers came to regret with the
legacy storage vendors of the previous era. The wolves are dressed in the
sheep's clothing of buzzwords like "scale-out" and "software-based" but make no
mistake: users are locked in to expensive "certified" hardware. Nothing scales
out more than cloud object storage (which is what Actifio leverages for storing
backups while still providing instant mount and recoveries). A truly modern
data management platform should run on any compute or storage, on-premises or
in the cloud, and work with a wide variety of performance and capacity
requirements. In 2020, more IT teams will recognize the trap and embrace
multi-cloud copy data management and cloud object storage.
5. Another election year of data insecurity: Hacking,
ransomware and data leaks are alleged to have played a central role in the U.S.
election process of 2016. Many candidates are back on the campaign trail in
2020, some for the first time and others with legacy election infrastructure.
In order to capture and store sensitive donor information, these candidates
will need to dig deep into their databases to find the personal identifiable
information to reach out. To maintain the best donor experience and the most
effective fund-raising and voter turnout operations while improving security
and data privacy, campaign managers will turn to software platforms that help
them ensure that campaign information stays secure from intrusion, private,
up-to-date, and immediately accessible for strategic uses.
In November 2020 we will see if DARPA's $10
million contract commitment to secure, open-source election system hardware prototypes
will have a positive effect. Given the volumes of information that will be
stored, it will need to be able to securely and rapidly manage the data -- and
recover it quickly and efficiently in the case of a breach. Confidence in the
integrity of the voting process is the backbone of a functioning democracy.
##
About the Author
Ash
Ashutosh is co-founder and CEO of Actifio, the pioneer of multi-cloud copy data
management.