With an anticipated
infection rate of between 40% and 70% (1), the novel coronavirus, or COVID-19,
will undoubtedly have a massive impact on the world. Because the most effective
way to prevent infection is to avoid contact with the infected, coronavirus
will shape the way people interact socially, professionally, and economically.
"You may need to
take a break from your normal daily routine for two weeks," Dr. Nancy
Messonnier, Director of the CDC National Center for Immunization and
Respiratory Diseases. (2)
What does a two
week, or even longer, interruption in daily life and limited social interaction
mean for the average person? How will it impact their habits, behaviors, and
decisions? What can be inferred from instances of quarantine which have already
taken place in China and elsewhere? And what role will digital technologies
play in all of this?
The coronavirus already has had an impact on purchasing
habits and health routines in China and Italy, in addition to many cities
across the United States as citizens are confined to their homes due to
quarantine. According to Daniel Ahmad, a Senior Analyst at Niko Partners (an
Asian entertainment market analysis firm), the combination of isolation and a
desire to stay healthy have created a shortage of a new fitness video game
recently released by Nintendo titled Ring
Fit Adventure (3) (4).
Consider this
specific surge in demand for a videogame meant to make enduring a quarantine
more manageable when combined with the overall global trend towards in-home
delivery of goods and services. The past decade has seen the explosive growth
of brands like Uber Eats, DoorDash and Postmates (5), as well as the overall
dominance of Amazon as the purveyor of every good imaginable directly to our
doorsteps.
It's not
far-fetched to anticipate that this global pandemic, the ubiquitous and still
increasing adoption of eCommerce-driven delivery services (including food,
goods and labor), and mandated social isolation will combine to drive consumers
to interact with companies online even more so than they do today.
If given a choice
between picking up essentials from the local drug store while maintaining a
three meter distance from any other person, obsessively washing your hands, and
risking exposure to a deadly disease, or, simply tapping an app and having the
same goods brought to directly to your home, which do you think you would be
more likely to choose?
For years, digital
transformation has been the byword of essentially every business. Forbes
estimates 70% of businesses have a digital transformation strategy in place and
that 40% of all technology in 2019 went towards implementing digital strategy
(6). It seems now, given the confluence of factors present in the world today,
that the question will not be if those figures were too high, but if businesses
have underestimated how essential digital transformation would become in 2020.
If even Las Vegas is feeling the impact of reduced travel (7), how much upside
does that represent for companies who can appeal to those consumers who would
rather weather the storm at home?
A second
consideration for businesses evaluating their stance towards the global
pandemic is whether or not their digital infrastructure can handle the demands
of both additional online consumers as well as additional remote workers. A
traditional concern is existing information technology infrastructure and how
well it can support the increased demand caused by a surge in remote workers
(8).
A more novel
concern, however, is the increased focus that hackers have placed upon
compromising and profiting from the exploitation of online commerce. Consider
modern browser-based attacks targeting website visitors, such as those used by
Magecart, and the rapid adoption of those techniques in the past year, when
combined with the factors described previously driving demand towards online
commerce.
Given that
Magecart, just one example of a modern attack on eCommerce, was responsible for
over 18,000 infected websites last year alone (9), the landscape seems ripe for
further adoption of online commerce by house-bound consumers to fuel further
innovation from attackers who look to profit from digital transactions. The already inevitable drive towards a
primarily digital economy, catalyzed by an international health crisis,
provides immense opportunity for businesses to serve their customers in new
ways. It also provides immense opportunity for criminals to exploit that surge
in digital adoption.
It is imperative
for organizations to consider the proper response to emergent, environmental
challenges to business such as the coronavirus in a way which best supports
their customers, their employees and their bottom lines. Within that response,
a strong cybersecurity strategy which includes the application of
next-generation technologies, such as those developed by Source Defense,
Signal
Sciences and other innovative firms who aim to extend security into
the visitor's client itself, are a key component of supporting the new influx
of traffic and business which newly homebound consumers are creating.
Sources
- https://www.who.int/news-room/q-a-detail/q-a-coronaviruses
- https://arstechnica.com/science/2020/03/118-us-coronavirus-cases-9-deaths-as-ramped-up-testing-uncovers-hidden-spread/
- https://www.abacusnews.com/china-tech-city/demand-ring-fit-adventure-nintendo-switch-soars-china-coronavirus-keeps-gamers-home/article/3048959
- https://twitter.com/ZhugeEX/status/1230637046915641344
- https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/technology-media-and-telecommunications/our-insights/the-changing-market-for-food-delivery
- https://www.forbes.com/sites/blakemorgan/2019/12/16/100-stats-on-digital-transformation-and-customer-experience/#11a04fad3bf3
- https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/03/business/coronavirus-business-travel.html?searchResultPosition=6
- https://www.gartner.com/smarterwithgartner/with-coronavirus-in-mind-are-you-ready-for-remote-work/
- https://www.forbes.com/sites/leemathews/2019/10/11/over-18000-websites-infested-with-magecart-card-skimming-malware/#357302cb7b1d
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About the Author
Matt McGuirk,
Professional Services Engineer, North America and Europe at Source Defense
Matt McGuirk is a Solution Engineer and researcher at
Source Defense with a focus on browser-session JavaScript vulnerabilities. He
has over fifteen years of experience in full-stack web development and related
technologies. He is a subject matter expert in JavaScript, browser behavior,
and user experience on the web. Matt frequently consults with Fortune 500
companies across a broad range of industries to help them define the best
solution to address the threat posed by Magecart.