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EdgeQ 2021 Predictions: What's Next For 5G?

vmblog 2021 prediction series 

Industry executives and experts share their predictions for 2021.  Read them in this 13th annual series exclusive.

What's Next For 5G?

By Vinay Ravuri, CEO and Founder of EdgeQ Inc.

With the groundswell of smart, connected, always-on devices at the edge, there is a plethora of new applications and services in a wide variety of industries that generate incredible high volumes of data at the edge which depend on real-time connectivity and compute. For example, autonomous factory robots require high reliability and low latency mobility to complete jobs effectively.

Most of the 5G-related deployments to-date power consumer handsets; however, the most transformative benefits of 5G is not its use for mobile phone technology, rather it is enterprise-focused use cases. Below are a few trends we can expect to see in 2021 as 5G capabilities move beyond consumer devices and enterprises adopt 5G-enabled solutions to run mission-critical application and improve business operations:

Enterprise 5G deployments gain steam, spotlight true value of 5G

We will see a substantial increase in 5G trial initiatives by enterprises over the next 12 months, especially in verticals such as manufacturing, energy and surveillance, to enable mission-critical applications that require low latency. In 2021, consumer handsets will remain the most widely adopted 5G use case, focused on allowing faster data speeds for users, before being overtaken by enterprise applications in 2022. These enterprise and industrial deployments will offer more radical disruptions and significant value-added services and apps associated with 5G.  They will utilize new attributes and properties, such as Ultra-Reliable Low Latency Communications (URLLC), Massive-Machine Type Communications (MMTC), and private bands which are uniquely 5G.  (For example, when a mobile device misses frames while playing a YouTube video, this will only impact the user in a minor way. However, when an industrial surveillance drone or autonomous vehicle loses connection or is slow to receive critical signals, it may crash endangering safety, or leave field staff vulnerable to accidents and leading to significant equipment and property damages.)

Efforts like CBRS and O-RAN will allow enterprises to deploy private 5G networks at lower operating price points, allow new providers to enter the market, and bridge the digital divide.

We may see traditional consumer 5G vendors entering the enterprise space, but these companies will struggle to pivot away from the traditional consumer markets based on available internal resources and expertise. Incumbents will certainly not ignore the enterprise market; however, they are not likely to put all their eggs in that basket as newer players will.

5G geopolitics do not halt adoption

Although the ever-changing global permissions regarding Huawei equipment usage may impact the companies' investment in innovation and profitability, this trend will not affect overall 5G adoption. Instead, these uncertainties provide an opening for innovative startups to gain footing in the market. In 2021, driven by the rapidly increasing demand for 5G, country bans on specific equipment vendors will not impact 5G adoption or innovation and instead open up the prospect base for other vendors.

Equally, customer and market innovation of 5G will predicate on innovation at the silicon level.  This will give rise to innovation at both a software and hardware level.  Operators and OEMs will also look for novel solutions that can achieve new levels of performance, power, and TCO apart from existing traditional merchant silicon offerings.

Network systems become open, while monolithic solutions evolve or get left behind

Similar to what happened in the data center space, OpenRAN (O-RAN) will become more mainstream, challenging monolithic solutions of the past. Prior to the open source software trend for data centers, large companies such as Dell, HP and IBM dominated in this market. When companies like Facebook and Google stepped into this space, they popularized the belief that monolithic solutions are outdated, and companies should instead disaggregate the hardware from software and use open source software rather than commercial. Today, as a result of open compute standards, commoditized hardware, and open source software offerings, the market is much more democratized, which has resulted in lower costs, increased vendor competition, more customization, and more room for innovation.

No matter the hype, 5G vendors are still highly consolidated today. To scale 5G solutions with efficiency, intelligence and versatility, the market will prioritize O-RAN solutions rather than monolithic. We will see white box hardware and open source software elements from different vendors. O-RAN will present the opportunity for a lot more startups to get hold in this space. We have already seen big cloud operations making announcements and investments in open source technology in 2020, and this wave will continue in 2021 and beyond.

AI-enabled automation at the edge brings manufacturing back to US

Enabled by reliable, high-performance 5G connectivity and real-time edge computing capabilities, enterprises will more rapidly implement AI technology to support various use cases across their organizations, including robotic assembly lines, autonomous vehicles, augmented reality training, and more. These intelligent, AI-driven solutions will automate traditional, manual processes to increase performance and visibility while lowering cost.

Traditional manufacturing settings employ a significant amount of manual labor. To keep operational costs low, many industries have taken their factories outside of the U.S. By implementing AI throughout factories, manufacturing can automate many resource-expensive tasks. For example, Tesla was able to place its factories in one of the world's most expensive geographies by automating most of its factory functions. By utilizing AI to operate their robot workers, there is a massive opportunity for the western world to reshore or nearshore manufacturing operations. In 2021, manufacturers will lay the groundwork for company-wide, cost-effective industrial automation. Over the next five years, we will see these industries completely transform themselves due to the automating power of real-time AI.

I look forward to seeing these predictions become reality over the next 12-months. 2021 will be a very exciting year!


About the Author

Vinay Ravuri 

Vinay Ravuri is the CEO and founder of EdgeQ Inc. Previously, Ravuri was VP of product management at Qualcomm, focusing on the company's mobile and data center solutions. He has over 25 years of experience as an established executive and entrepreneur for mid-cap, large-cap, and startup ventures in high tech markets. He is also a strategic advisor to companies in infrastructure, compute, and software/platform space.

Published Tuesday, January 05, 2021 7:43 AM by David Marshall
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