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Telia Carrier 2022 Predictions: Internet of the Future - Predictions for 2022 and Beyond

vmblog predictions 2022 

Industry executives and experts share their predictions for 2022.  Read them in this 14th annual VMblog.com series exclusive.

Internet of the Future - Predictions for 2022 and Beyond

By Mattias Fridström, Chief Evangelist, Telia Carrier

As we enter 2022, the long-tail impact of the pandemic and global supply chain disruptions will continue to cast a shadow as we rebuild economies, address security issues and expand network infrastructure to meet the ever-increasing demand for bandwidth. As a result, business leaders will need to make complex decisions to lay the groundwork to invest in technologies, while navigating supply chain delays. We will need to create greater supplier diversity and reimagine how to deliver products and services on time and within budget, while keeping an eye on the bigger picture.

While for many years the telecom industry has been touting solutions that promote the new "Internet of the Future," the pandemic resulted in a surprise surge in peak traffic causing providers to question the fundamental structure of the network and how it is built. Because of this, now is the time to make it more modular.

Here are some predictions:

#1 Security everywhere.

Not a new trend, but one that must be taken very seriously. Cybercrime is increasing, such as ransomware, phishing, DDoS and carpet-bombing attacks that aim to take down networks, destroy reputations, extort money or damage businesses. If you do not stay on top of your game, you may be the next victim.

As enterprises became more reliant on cloud applications and remote systems, bad actors increased extortion-based attacks during the pandemic. Our most recent DDoS Threat Landscape Report showed an increase in high-intensity cybersecurity attacks in 2020 versus 2019, and a 50 percent rise in peak attack traffic over this period.

Denial of service attacks are assaults that launch in rapid succession with a focus on making computer systems unresponsive and unavailable. For service providers DDoS attacks take this approach to another level by using multiple Internet connections and devices to launch a series of simultaneous attacks - a distributed denial of service - rather than using a single computer or Internet connection. The goal is to take down a network and cause service delays.

With an increase in available overall network capacity, cyber-criminals are increasingly targeting their victims with high-intensity packet-per-second attacks, rather than simply congesting client links. For example, the largest attack we saw this year was 1,58 Tbps. While most attacks last between 5-10 minutes, and are between 1-5 Gbps, what is growing is the coordinated nature of such attacks, along with the vulnerabilities of a remote workforce. This puts service providers at greater risk. Large globally distributed attacks target DNS services and can overwhelm any Internet uplinks. Once the uplink is saturated, customers and partners are left without available service.

In particular, the banking and financial services businesses suffered a substantial number of security attacks since the start of the pandemic, including numerous DDoS attacks. Ransom demands often accompany these attacks. It is unsurprising that nearly 40 percent of the financial sector leaders consider the overall network security threat to be significant. This will continue to be a major concern in 2022 and beyond.

#2 More "Raw" bandwidth for Enterprises.

Larger Enterprises want to do more by themselves and have shown growing interest in raw bandwidth as opposed to managed services. We see them buying more like wholesale customers, with greater interest in Wavelength and Ethernet services instead of managed solutions like SD-WAN because many prefer to build this themselves. The role and importance of the underlay and IP transition services show that these services are not going anywhere anytime soon, thanks to the increasing demand from industries like EdTech, Financial Services and online gaming. When it comes to IP Transit and Wavelength services, as they say what is old is new again.

#3 Cloud race speeds up.

The pandemic expedited the faster digitalization journey and therefore an even faster move towards the clouds for most Enterprises. The less you can have in your own basement, the better. Of course, there are some applications that should remain in your basement for security reasons, more service providers are shifting to a cloud native model, and we will see more full-blown software-defined networking (SDN) architecture, edge and cloud as the shift to 5G continues.

#4 Everything around sustainability.

In every aspect of our business, we need to consider sustainability. Some things we have done for years, but most is quite new, and given the current situation, sustainability is no longer a nice to have but a core consideration.

Research from Telia Carrier's 2020 WAN report, indicated that 98 percent of enterprises say that sustainability is critically important. As an industry, we need to do much more. Initiatives such as certifying data centers with a "fossil-free data" label are a good start, but we can take many more steps to make the network more sustainable. For example, overall power consumption is still rising each year as new gear is installed, despite all efforts to lower the number of kWh consumed per Gb/s of network capacity. Another example is removing old equipment, as network operators love to add equipment but seldom remove. These blinking boxes are power hungry and supporting minimum customers. Simple measures from better inventory and preventative maintenance can lead to important energy cost reductions. We as an industry need to learn how to retire older infrastructure and unplug.

More importantly, we need to raise the discussion around sustainability including how a more open Internet, open optics and open routing, can lead to better efficiency. There is a lot of discussion around the core business benefits of open optics and open routing, and not enough about how it will help to reduce energy use. We need to lead by demonstrating what steps service providers should take to build an ethical business, beyond sustainability this will also touch on important topics for our society including the importance of diversity in our workforce, closing the gender gap and providing education to ensure younger generations can develop the right skills necessary to build and manage the networks of the future.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Mattias Fridstrom 

There’s a certain type of person who gets a little bit too excited about networks. Mattias is that guy. If he had a tattoo, it would be of a network. His knowledge is mind-boggling and his passion irrepressible. He offers deep insights into the networked economy. What are the challenges of tomorrow for network providers? How can we meet ever-increasing traffic demand and customer quality expectations within the same cost frame? Mattias holds an MSc in Electrical Engineering from the University of Wollongong, Australia. Since joining Telia in 1996, he has worked in a number of senior roles within Telia Carrier and most recently as CTO. Since July 2016 he has been Telia Carrier’s Chief Evangelist. Mattias’ passion isn’t limited to networks: He has played golf professionally and competed on a national level in football and innebandy. Although he has a reputation when it comes to sports as being the “worst loser at Telia Carrier”, he is working hard to overcome this – by not losing to anyone. At anything. Ever.

Published Thursday, January 13, 2022 7:37 AM by David Marshall
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