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Eclipse Foundation 2023 Predictions: Coming in 2023 for the Open Source World


Industry executives and experts share their predictions for 2023.  Read them in this 15th annual series exclusive.

Coming in 2023 for the Open Source World

By Mike Milinkovich, Executive Director of the Eclipse Foundation

2022 was a year of mixed feedback, particularly for the software industry. Despite many macroeconomic warnings, cloud services continued to grow, and the open source model was embraced. 2023 is looking positive for the expansion of open source software. Here are a few trends that will impact our industry next year.

The Java Renaissance Continues to Gain Momentum - The use of Java for the enterprise and more continues to see renewed interest from all corners. Microprofile and Jakarta EE have reinvigorated the enterprise space. The work done in 2022 with the releases of Jakarta EE 10 and MicroProfile 6.0 paves the way for open source multi-vendor Java solutions in cloud native, microservice-based infrastructure. Enterprises used to fighting for talent are looking at the availability of Java developers and leveraging this deep talent pool to continue their digital transformation to cloud native infrastructure. As enterprises everywhere begin to employ strategies to mask the complexity of Kubernetes-based environments, open source enterprise Java is a natural near-term solution.

In terms of enterprise Java runtimes, Eclipse Adoptium continues to see millions of downloads as the high-quality open source runtime for enterprise developers. In addition, Adoptium's Temurin runtime has seen significant vendor adoption, with Google, Microsoft, and Red Hat all announcing support for Temurin in cloud deployments. Further, thanks to its work with Aquavit, the industry has, for the first time, a quality certification program for Java. Not only does it give developers confidence that their runtime will work, it has been tested for scale, security, and performance beyond relevance to the Java language.

The Eclipse Foundation has been at the heart of many of these developments, and there is much more to come in 2023.

Enterprises realize that contributing to the health of OSS communities is no longer a luxury but essential to their business - Now that the world relies on open source software for just about every important function in the cloud and the internet overall, enterprises leveraging these technologies are going to realize that participating in the open source community is in their best interests. In a majority of cases, large enterprises use OSS in ways that are critical to their core competence.

As a result, enterprises will evaluate ways to contribute to the OSS projects and communities most important to them and their markets. While many enterprises are used to controlling all aspects of their product builds, it will become clear that collaboration is essential to speed innovation and product development. What's more, these same enterprises will realize that the foundation model is the best one that now solves the constraints around the security, sustainability, vendor neutrality, and longevity of OSS projects.

2023 is the Year that the Automotive Industry Takes the Software-Defined Vehicle to Reality - Based solely on the moment of Eclipse Foundation's Software-Defined Vehicle Working Group, which saw dozens of new members join in 2022, it's easy to see why we're making this prediction. Automotive companies, already familiar with leveraging pre-built components to save money and speed innovation, are recognizing that they can't get to a pure model individually and will need to collaborate to build open source technologies and open standards that will benefit the entire industry as a whole.

By open source, we mean an open technology platform that will include open-sourced, modular software components and frameworks fully integrated into a modern developer experience with a high degree of automation and virtualization. Our code-first approach will consider high-performance computers as well as ECUs and will cover in-car and cloud use cases as well as the required underlying toolchains for SDV development. These solutions don't aim to "reinvent the wheel" but rely on open standards wherever possible.

This disruptive approach is poised to transform how vehicles are built, maintained, and sold around the world. 2023 is the year that the world recognizes its benefits.


So far, my track record for these things is around 60/40, with the majority of my prognostications coming true. I'm most excited about the potential for the SDV WG here at the Eclipse Foundation, but all of these trends will be impactful. We'll have to do another tally at this same time next year. Until then, Happy Holidays!




Mike Milinkovich is a recognized industry leader and open source community champion. He has been involved in the software industry for over thirty years, doing everything from software engineering, to product management to IP licensing. He has been the Executive Director of the Eclipse Foundation since 2004. In that role he is responsible for supporting both the Eclipse open-source community and its commercial ecosystem.  Prior to joining Eclipse, Mike was a vice president in Oracle's development group. Other stops along the way include several startups, IBM, and Nortel Research.

As an industry leader, Mike has sat on the Boards of the Open Source Initiative (OSI), and the OpenJDK community, as well as the Executive Committee of the Java Community Process (JCP).

Published Wednesday, December 28, 2022 10:01 AM by David Marshall
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