Industry executives and experts share their predictions for 2023. Read them in this 15th annual VMblog.com series exclusive.
Eye on AI: Why 2023 is a turning point for mass adoption
By Anmol Bhasin, CTO, ServiceTitan
We're all familiar with some of the buzziest
AI innovations of the last decade: from autonomous driving, facial recognition,
gene sequencing and first generation AI chatbots to new entrants such as
generative AI routines (i.e. ChatGPT, Dall-E, Stable Diffusion, and Vall-E).
2023 will continue the innovation streak and we will see an acceleration of
developments in the generative AI space that will fundamentally alter the
creative workforce as they will likely see their roles transform from artistic
creators to astute curators.
In 2023, three themes will stand out. First,
innovation will continue its breakneck pace. Generative models will etch away
and large technology corporations will enter a battlefield of smarter and
transformational modules along chatbots, digital imaging, voice assistants,
intelligent workflow automation agents, diagnostic imaging in healthcare, and
more.
Second, this pace of innovation will force
tough conversations in board rooms and executive meetings. Last year, strategic
conversations at companies centered around digital transformation, and taking a
bite of the AI apple. In 2023, the conversation will shift to "why are we
behind?" or "have you tried ChatGPT?". Instead, executives will start asking,
"what will this do to our industry, our workforce, and our customer's
business?" After the initial phase of bewilderment, astute leaders will search
for opportunities to leapfrog, and essentially bypass a whole generation of AI
applications, entering the brave new world of third wave or "generative" AI.
Finally, the enthusiasm at the executive level
of organizations paired with macro-economic softening will motivate companies
to identify and implement opportunities for AI and automation. This paradigm
will become the new mode of operation to drive margin efficiencies, and
increase resilience amid economic uncertainty as well as future proofing
themselves. Concerns around workforce replacement and the fears of AI
"taking over" will become much more subdued in developed economies but even
more so in developing ones.
An
environment for mass adoption
Technological advancements often exhibit a
virtuous cycle - innovation leads to refinement, which improves adoption, and
ultimately leads to increased demand for new innovations. With AI, we've
refined the way we use the technology for a variety of use cases, making it
much easier for non-experts to make the case for adoption. The technology to
fully automate a lot of business processes exists and continues to improve,
while new AI templates and plug-and-play solutions are creating the perfect
environment for widespread adoption in 2023.
There's a construction analogy I like to use
when comparing the AI of the past to that of the present: in the past, we built
AI brick by brick using toolkits and packaged Software Development Kits (SDKs)
to build models. Think lots of cement and mortar in the form of data. It was
time intensive and we needed experts to ensure every brick was laid with
precision. Now, instead of bricks, the industry has evolved to use
prefabricated homes that you can place and deploy in a day. Cloud software
vendors continue to invest in AI modules and value added services that have
reduced the friction to build and adopt solutions using AI for highly
repetitive and labor intensive tasks.
Let's dive into the current dynamics pushing
businesses toward AI adoption:
- Economic conditions and a strong talent pool. With the current economic climate, particularly inflation and a
competitive talent market, we'll see an explosion of AI and other
technologies to automate roles that companies will struggle to fill while
watching their bottom line. Automation can cut unnecessary spending to
improve a company's runway and improve efficiencies to work faster and
stay competitive. Many businesses today already have useful data that
could be more easily analyzed with AI to allow for a streamlined workflow,
comprehensive risk analysis, customer support, and workforce optimization
- they just need to have a set of application strategists and integration
practitioners to integrate their systems with the offerings provided by
numerous vendors.
- Configurability of AI modules and influx of use case
templates. A majority of cloud providers are
offering easy-to-operate AI templates allowing businesses to simply add
new tools to their existing technology suite. First, the configurability
of these modules is becoming mainstream, especially as it pertains to
customer support. For instance, large language models can be trained and
constrained to provide answers from a limited knowledge base pertinent to
a company's product line. If deployed correctly, the majority of the
support interaction can shift over to chatbots powered by large language
models. Second, SaaS companies are now providing out-of-the-box,
customizable hyper-specific use case templates. For example, an AI
recommendation template, now available for the trades industry,
automatically recommends what parts should be on a service truck as
technicians headed out to the field every morning. In the next five years,
there will be thousands of templatized workflows with embedded AI and
automation capability. We could also see more businesses using some form
of AI to automate workflows and increase efficiencies.
- Decreased barrier to entry.
While AI experts and data scientists have been in high demand in recent years, we're going
to see many more AI "promoters," "operators," or "managers" crop up this
year and beyond. This is a significant and recent change signaling that
mass adoption is underway. With mainstream, free-to-use, generative AI
services like ChatGPT for text creation or DALL-E for AI imaging, we're
also seeding a new generation of potential AI natives. As these AI
templates continue to gain popularity and the barrier to entry continues
to lower, we should expect to see widespread adoption across industries
and an emerging workforce that is more experienced with AI systems.
Where
to expect AI adoption
So what areas of business are ready for
"prefabricated" AI capabilities? We'll see this transformation take place
primarily where human bandwidth can be replaced or enhanced, and where we've
seen successful or easily-scalable use cases.
- The front office. We've
seen that the first to adopt automation are people in the "front office" -
the roles or departments with a direct tie to the customer or end-user,
such as customer support, marketing, and sales operations. Advancements in
AI language models have improved chatbots, while AI-powered data analytics
can deliver powerful customer insights.
- Some middle office jobs. IT,
compliance, and risk management teams are also ripe for automation - we've
seen standout use cases from the banking and
finance industry showing promise for others in the space. Businesses will
look to automate tasks that involve interpreting dense, disparate data, so
human workers can focus on analyzing or elevating insights for both
clients and executives.
- Specialized industries with existing use cases. Organizations are also more likely to adopt AI with existing use
cases, more easily predicting the business return on investment. This
makes sense, as most organizations will use tools with proven success over
something new and buzzy. With the proliferation of templates and new use
cases, we'll see many specialized sectors or roles using automation where
the ROI is significant.
It's worth mentioning there are still
industries where AI will be more difficult to implement and experts will still
be needed to be heavily involved (i.e. brick by brick, not prefab). These
industries are much less likely to be disrupted by current AI technologies as
implementation is more costly and there are currently fewer use cases. Complex
back office systems, such as finance, accounting, and operations, will still
struggle to apply practical AI solutions and the back office will take much
longer to build and adopt working AI programs. Similarly, human-centric jobs,
such as HR departments, are unlikely to see large-scale AI adoption in the very
near future.
What
does this all mean?
Of course, the question on many people's minds
is: Will AI replace me or my job? Legitimate concerns over job security and the
fear that AI will replace humans has previously prevented AI from advancing
more quickly. However, I believe these fears are misplaced, and before long,
more of us will be able to see the major opportunities that AI present.
As Deloitte pointed out in their research on the
workforce and automation, "ue to automation, over 800,000 jobs have been lost
but nearly 3.5 million new ones have been created." The question is not how AI
will replace us, but instead, how will we collaborate with AI to work smarter, faster, and push the boundaries of human
performance? Many of us will be answering this question sooner than we think.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
From Linkedin to Groupon to Salesforce, and now as CTO of ServiceTitan (the cloud-based software platform for the trades), Anmol Bhasin has a long history of building transformational cloud-based products. Prior to his role at ServiceTitan, Anmol worked on a battery of LinkedIn’s data products including Job Recommendations, Ad Targeting, LinkedIn Talent Match candidate targeting tools. He then led Salesforce’s venerable Einstein products and platform weaving in AI across the company's sales, service, and marketing business lines. Most recently, Anmol spearheaded the launch of Titan Intelligence — software that brings the power of data and AI to the trades on a scale that has never been seen before. In addition to spearheading the launch of Titan Intelligence, Anmol is responsible for leading global Product and Engineering and pioneering new SaaS technology to improve the lives and businesses of contractors across the country.