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Wallarm 2025 Predictions: API Security in 2025 - A GenAI-Powered Battlefield

vmblog-predictions-2025 

Industry executives and experts share their predictions for 2025.  Read them in this 17th annual VMblog.com series exclusive.

By Tim Erlin, VP of Product at Wallarm

API security in 2025 will be a tale of two extremes, both significantly impacted by generative AI (genAI). There's no question that genAI will continue to grow rapidly over the next year. It is already reshaping industries and introducing new possibilities in automation and intelligence, and this trend will continue. Along with this expansion for genAI comes a dramatic increase in the use of APIs. APIs are foundational to the delivery and support of genAI applications. The likes of ChatGPT and Claude are delivered on top of APIs that enable not only the delivery of their core capabilities, but also support their infrastructure. In this marriage of cutting-edge and traditional technologies, APIs serve as both the driving force behind genAI capabilities and a potential point of weakness.

We should expect a major API breach involving generative AI application in 2025 due to the risks of traditional API vulnerabilities within the genAI space. Generative AI systems rely on APIs that are vulnerable to well-known attack vectors such as injection flaws, cross-site scripting (XSS), and remote code executions (RCE). The projected growth of genAI applications, coupled with the high dependence on standard API components, increases the probability of such vulnerabilities being exploited. These types of vulnerabilities are already exploited on a daily basis, and there's no reason to expect any different because they're supporting a genAI application. The appeal of targeting these APIs is immense-by compromising an API, attackers could gain access to highly sensitive data or even the generative AI models themselves. We'd like to say that this predicted breach will serve as a wake-up call for organizations relying on genAI to prioritize API security, but history says that such wake-up calls rarely materialize.

In parallel, we can expect an escalation in the sophistication and impact of cyberattacks specifically targeting APIs, also driven by generative AI capabilities. Attackers are already beginning to harness AI-generated exploit development, and will move on to full kill chains that start with genAI-enabled vulnerability discovery. These advanced tools won't merely identify flaws; they will create tailored exploits and payloads using adaptive and innovative attack techniques. This evolution means that each phase of an attack, from vulnerability discovery to eventual compromise, will be automated to a level where the speed of attacks is increased and the stealth is maximized. As a result, organizations may find it increasingly difficult to detect and respond to these attacks in real-time, as AI-powered exploitation introduces a new type of high-speed, high-impact attacks that skirt existing defenses.

In conclusion, 2025 will highlight both the transformative power and risks of integrating generative AI with API-driven systems. On one side, genAI will enable unprecedented automation and functionality for businesses, redefining how they interact with and leverage data through APIs. On the other, the vulnerabilities inherent in APIs will be exposed and potentially exploited on a larger scale. As generative AI applications grow, so does the importance of effective API security tools to protect these interconnected systems. Organizations must adapt to the changing threat landscape, incorporating more proactive API security measures to keep pace with genAI's rapid advancements and the accompanying risks. This year will likely mark a turning point, demonstrating both the incredible potential and the critical security challenges of an AI-powered future. Whether organizations rise to meet that challenge is yet to be seen.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Tim Erlin 

Tim Erlin has more than 20 years of experience implementing, evangelizing, conceptualizing, and selling cybersecurity solutions. He spent the early part of his career developing the vulnerability management market at nCircle, growing the customer base from a handful to thousands around the world. Tim has managed products through multiple acquisitions, including nCircle's acquisitions of Cambia and Clearpoint Metrics, as well as being acquired by Tripwire, Belden, and Fortra. He is an accomplished contributor to the cybersecurity community as a speaker, writer, podcast host, and frequently quoted source in the media. He has expertise in multiple cybersecurity markets, including vulnerability management, configuration assessment, compliance assessment, cloud security, threat intelligence, attack surface management, and cyber risk quantification.

Published Thursday, November 21, 2024 7:40 AM by David Marshall
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