Industry executives and experts share their predictions for 2025. Read them in this 17th annual VMblog.com series exclusive. By Russell Teague, Chief Information Security Officer
(CISO), Fortified Health Security
The cybersecurity landscape continues to evolve rapidly,
especially in the healthcare sector, and the industry must anticipate this
continuum of change and potential instability. Based on past and recent events
throughout 2024 and the emerging trends, here are my predictions for healthcare
cybersecurity in 2025.
Surge in AI-driven cyberattacks
Cybercriminals will increasingly deploy AI to automate and
scale their attacks, creating dynamic malware, adaptive phishing schemes, and
sophisticated intrusion attempts.
AI is already transforming cybersecurity, with both
attackers and defenders harnessing its power. Cybercriminals are employing AI
to assess security measures and refine their strategies, while tools like
ChatGPT are streamlining the creation of convincing phishing attacks.
These attacks could lead to data breaches or operational
disruptions in healthcare organizations, threatening sensitive patient data and
potentially delaying critical care services. Healthcare systems should consider
adopting AI-powered defense mechanisms to match this evolving threat.
Escalation of Ransomware Attacks with Double Extortion Tactics
Healthcare will continue to be the main target for
ransomware attacks, with threat actors increasingly combining encryption with
data exposure threats to maximize extortion payouts.
Ransomware attacks on healthcare systems surged
this year, with incidents causing significant operational disruptions to
patient care. Studies by the FBI and CISA have confirmed the increasing
reliance on double extortion tactics, where attackers demand payment to decrypt
data and prevent the public release of stolen data.
Ransomware attacks can paralyze healthcare operations,
forcing delays in patient care and diagnostics. Exposure to sensitive patient
data could erode trust, damage reputations, and lead to significant financial
losses for organizations.
Increased Regulatory Scrutiny and Compliance Requirements
Governments and regulatory bodies will impose stricter
cybersecurity compliance standards, forcing healthcare organizations to adopt
more robust security frameworks.
Legislation introduced in 2024, such as the proposed Health
Care Cybersecurity Resiliency Act, underscores the government's growing focus
on securing critical infrastructure. This trend follows global initiatives like
the EU's GDPR and the U.S.'s CMMC. Healthcare organizations will face
increasing pressure to demonstrate compliance to avoid penalties and protect
patient trust while trying to address current IT challenges with legacy
technology.
Stricter compliance requirements will drive investments in
security tools and protocols, enhancing data protection and patient safety.
However, non-compliance could result in hefty fines and interruptions in
operations.
Expansion of Cybersecurity Budgets and Investments
Healthcare organizations will significantly increase
investments in cybersecurity tools, talent, and infrastructure to combat rising
threats.
In 2024, cybersecurity budgets in healthcare increased by
20%, driven by high-profile attacks and heightened board-level attention.
Gartner projects further growth, with cybersecurity spending expected to reach
15% of total IT budgets by 2025. The financial impact of data breaches
continues to be a significant driver of this shift, with the average cost of a
healthcare breach reported at $10.93 million in 2023. However, it decreased to
$9.77 million in 2024. This trend reflects a growing focus among decision-makers
on prioritizing prevention over reaction to mitigate risks and safeguard
critical systems.
Increased budgets will enable healthcare organizations to
proactively secure systems, protect patient data, and minimize the likelihood
of interruptions in care delivery.
Emphasis on Third-Party Risk Management
Healthcare organizations will prioritize vendor assessments
and contractually enforce stringent cybersecurity standards to mitigate supply
chain risks.
Third-party vendors remain a weak link throughout healthcare
cybersecurity. In 2024, third-party compromises made up 45% of
healthcare-reported breaches.
By 2025, healthcare organizations will deepen their
third-party risk management efforts to include identifying and attempting to
mitigate single points of failure and addressing risks from fourth-and
fifth-party relationships. These efforts will focus on strengthening supply
chain security and minimizing disruptions caused by vulnerabilities within the
broader vendor ecosystem.
While third-party risks are well-documented, the
dependencies on 4th and 5th parties-subcontractors and vendors of
vendors-create hidden vulnerabilities. The SolarWinds and Kaseya breaches
exemplified how a single compromised vendor can cascade through an entire
ecosystem, impacting hundreds or thousands of organizations. Healthcare systems
are particularly exposed, as many rely on a small number of critical vendors
for patient data management, medical device connectivity, and cloud services.
By exploring these deeper layers of risk, healthcare organizations can enhance
operational resilience and reduce the likelihood of systemic failures.
Identifying single points of failure ensures operational
continuity by minimizing the risk of a compromised critical dependency.
Assessing 4th and 5th party risks strengthens the security posture of the
entire supply chain, protecting patient data and ensuring the availability of
critical services. An expanded focus reduces the likelihood of cascading
failures, and fosters trust in interconnected healthcare ecosystems.
Enhanced Incident Response Services
Healthcare organizations will adopt more advanced and
proactive incident response (IR) capabilities, including access to on-demand
experts and centralized IR portals. The increasing frequency and severity of
cyber incidents have exposed gaps in many healthcare organizations' IR
capabilities. The introduction of centralized IR portals and partnerships with
on-demand experts in 2024 has already demonstrated significant reductions in
downtime and recovery costs. 2025 this trend will expand as healthcare systems
seek faster, more coordinated responses to mitigate disruptions.
Enhanced IR services minimize downtime and data loss,
ensuring continued operations during cyber incidents and protecting patient
care delivery.
Healthcare Outsourcing of Cybersecurity
By 2025, healthcare organizations will increasingly
outsource cybersecurity functions to managed security service providers (MSSPs)
and specialized third-party vendors. This shift will address critical talent
shortages, alleviate pressures on in-house teams, and provide access to
cutting-edge expertise and technology to combat the rapidly evolving threat
landscape.
The global cybersecurity workforce gap exceeded 3.4 million professionals in
2024, according to International
Information System Security Certification Consortium (ISC)². Many
healthcare organizations struggle to attract and retain skilled cybersecurity
personnel due to competition from other industries and limited budgets. The
aging IT workforce, combined with a rapidly evolving threat landscape,
compounds this challenge. Outsourcing provides a cost-effective alternative,
ensuring access to advanced tools, round-the-clock monitoring, and rapid
incident response capabilities. MSSPs also specialize in regulatory compliance,
helping healthcare organizations navigate stringent requirements and reduce
risks.
Outsourcing reduces the likelihood of breaches and system
outages, ensuring uninterrupted access to critical systems and patient data. It
minimizes downtime by enabling faster threat detection and mitigation,
protecting patient care workflows. Additionally, outsourcing alleviates the
burden on internal IT teams, reduces burnout, and allows organizations to focus
on their core mission of delivering quality patient care.
Securing Your Future
As we move into 2025, healthcare organizations must remain
vigilant and adaptable. By anticipating these trends and investing in
comprehensive cybersecurity measures, the healthcare sector can better protect
its critical infrastructure and sensitive patient data.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Russell Teague, Chief Information Security
Officer, Fortified Health Security
With over 20 years of experience, Russell Teague's
expertise spans Information Security across industries such as Healthcare,
Pharma, Financial, Retail, Technology, and more. A U.S. Army Intelligence
veteran, he has held senior leadership roles, including CSO and CTO, and worked
with top cybersecurity service providers. Russell has consulted with the White
House on the National Cybersecurity Healthcare Strategy, contributed to key
publications, and has been a prominent voice at major industry events, including
Blackhat, HIMSS, and Health Connect Partners (HCP).