Industry executives and experts share their predictions for 2025. Read them in this 17th annual VMblog.com series exclusive. By
Emily Nakashima, VP of Engineering, Honeycomb
2024 was a monumental year for the
transformation of software development. AI came onto the enterprise scene in a
big way, impacting team structures, code development, leadership strategies,
and organizations as a whole. One thing we know for sure headed into the new
year is that this rapid evolution isn't slowing down, and how businesses
navigate and adapt to emerging technology will define their success down the
line. Reflecting on the past year, here are my predictions for how AI and an
ever-changing technological landscape will impact teams in 2025.
Cost
cutting will lead to team reconfiguration and vendor consolidation
Companies are
scrambling to address the new interest rate climate and the heightened focus on
efficiency, resulting in pressure to decrease manager-to-engineer ratios, with
many companies making cuts to both line management and middle management. The
focus on cost-cutting also incentivizes vendor consolidation and revisiting
past build-vs.-buy decisions. This means 2025 is likely to bring flatter
organizations that have tilted their focus toward product development and away
from internal tooling and platform investment. We'll also see harried and
stressed-out managers juggling these priorities: figuring out complex cloud
cost savings plans and evaluating new vendors while also welcoming new direct
reports still reeling from the most recent round of company layoffs.
There
will be a necessary shift in focus from AI code authorship to AI code
ownership
While the current AI
hype shows no signs of slowing, so much of the focus in 2024 was on AI code authorship rather than code ownership. Businesses ultimately spend
much more time owning, maintaining, and operating software than authoring it.
The current generation of AI tools has shown the technology is inconsistent in
the maintenance and ownership problem space. As such, 2025 will bring
heightened awareness of the downsides of owning AI-generated code and running
LLMs in production - what was fast to create in development is suddenly slow,
expensive, and unpredictable in production. I'll be looking out for advances in
best practices for LLM observability and expect we'll see headline-making
security incidents due to LLM-generated code.
We'll
see an uptick in the creation of AI centers of excellence
In 2025,
organizations will increasingly build out internal AI centers of excellence,
strategically designed to both support the upskilling of existing teams in AI
developer tools and drive AI-powered product innovation. The current shortage
of AI and ML talent means that companies will be asking engineers with this
expertise to do double duty in both educating the organization and driving
innovation.
Compliance
will start to meaningful impact software roadmaps
2025 is a year where
regulatory compliance will meaningfully impact many software team roadmaps.
There's an incredible burgeoning landscape of global and state-level privacy
laws, as well as the European Accessibility Act (EAA) coming into effect.
Connecting the dots on all of these complex and competing requirements will be
a large undertaking for engineering teams.
To make sure I have a holistic view of what
the coming year might bring, I also spoke with two of my fellow leaders at
Honeycomb to hear their perspectives and, you guessed it, AI had a lot to do
with how they foresee 2025 shaping up.
Our Field
CTO, Liz Fong-Jones, has her eye on IT spending and cloud costs in 2025,
remaining wary of the continuous build-up of technical debt brought on by AI
adoption. Here's what she had to say:
"Gartner recently projected a major uptick in IT spending
expected in 2025. Cloud cost continues to be top of mind for many
organizations. On the basis of hype and the herd effect, generative AI is going
to be a large portion of that increase in IT spending, but I'd caution that leaders
should carefully measure how much technical debt they are introducing while
they use AI to write code or add generative AI features to their products. It
will be important for organizations to run disaster game days to ensure they
still can debug and understand the code that's been added to their product."
And as AI drives up spending for teams, it
will also impact how their leadership must function and what they'll be
expected to navigate throughout its continued adoption in 2025. Because of
this, Honeycomb's co-founder and CEO,
Christine Yen, believes 2025 will be a defining year for technical
leadership:
"2024 ushered in the
rapid, more widespread adoption of artificial intelligence. While it kicked off
a move toward greater productivity and business success, it also created
confusion for many enterprises that struggle to understand their systems as is,
without AI. 2025 will see a continued rise in the value of technical leadership
and founders who understand the struggle of integrating emerging technologies
into their stack first-hand and can properly guide businesses forward with an
increased attention to the software systems that power the world's largest
companies. Businesses that place value on their software development and
engineering teams during this AI transformation will rise above those that
don't."
In summation, 2024 made it very clear that AI
is here to stay, and its impact will be felt in a number of intertwined
business functions from IT operations to executive leadership. That's why 2025
is a critical year for organizations to carefully define how they'll move
forward in this new era. Embracing innovation, cultivating resilient teams, and
remaining strategic about new technological investments will be key to success
in the coming year.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Emily Nakashima is
VP of Engineering at Honeycomb, a leading observability platform. A former
manager and engineering leader at multiple developer tools companies including
Bugsnag and GitHub, Emily is passionate about building best-in-class,
consumer-quality tools for engineers. She has a background in product
engineering, performance optimization, client-side monitoring, and design.